<p class="Resumo"><span style="font-size: 11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: ";Times New Roman";,";serif";; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: PT-BR; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">Dos vários materiais didáticos que configuram as práticas educativas, os materiais curriculares, em particular os livros didáticos, desempenham um papel preponderante nos processos de ensino e aprendizagem. O objetivo geral deste estudo é compreender como é explorado o conceito de probabilidade em livros didáticos dos anos iniciais de escolarização. Como objetivos específicos, salientam-se: identificar as tarefas de probabilidade presentes nos livros; verificar quais demandas cognitivas estão presentes e identificar o tipo de experiência aleatória implicada nas tarefas e o tipo de contexto em que as tarefas foram formuladas. Foram analisadas quatro coleções de livros didáticos, aprovadas no Plano Nacional do Livro Didático 2016. Na análise foram identificadas 69 tarefas de probabilidade presentes nos livros do 1º ao 5º ano, tendo-se evidenciado que os livros didáticos orientam para a aprendizagem da probabilidade partindo das noções de aleatoriedade, perpassando pelo levantamento dos resultados de experimentos aleatórios e pela avaliação de probabilidades. Evidenciou-se, ainda, que nas tarefas identificadas nas coleções não se contempla o estudo da associação entre variáveis, outro aspecto importante no desenvolvimento do pensamento probabilístico. Finalmente, verificou-se a predominância de tarefas envolvendo experiências simples e formuladas no contexto de jogos de sorte e azar.</span></p> <!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <o:OfficeDocumentSettings> <o:AllowPNG /> </o:OfficeDocumentSettings> </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves /> <w:TrackFormatting /> <w:HyphenationZone>21</w:HyphenationZone> <w:PunctuationKerning /> <w:ValidateAgainstSchemas /> <w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>false</w:SaveIfXMLInvalid> <w:IgnoreMixedContent>false</w:IgnoreMixedContent> <w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>false</w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText> <w:DoNotPromoteQF /> <w:LidThemeOther>PT</w:LidThemeOther> <w:LidThemeAsian>X-NONE</w:LidThemeAsian> <w:LidThemeComplexScript>X-NONE</w:LidThemeComplexScript> <w:Compatibility> <w:BreakWrappedTables /> <w:SnapToGridInCell /> <w:WrapTextWithPunct /> <w:UseAsianBreakRules /> <w:DontGrowAutofit /> <w:SplitPgBreakAndParaMark /> <w:EnableOpenTypeKerning /> 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Locked="false" Priority="61" Name="Light List Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="62" Name="Light Grid Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="63" Name="Medium Shading 1 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="64" Name="Medium Shading 2 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="65" Name="Medium List 1 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="66" Name="Medium List 2 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="67" Name="Medium Grid 1 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="68" Name="Medium Grid 2 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="69" Name="Medium Grid 3 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="70" Name="Dark List Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="71" Name="Colorful Shading Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="72" Name="Colorful List Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="73" Name="Colorful Grid Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="60" Name="Light Shading Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="61" Name="Light List Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="62" Name="Light Grid Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="63" Name="Medium Shading 1 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="64" Name="Medium Shading 2 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="65" Name="Medium List 1 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="66" Name="Medium List 2 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="67" Name="Medium Grid 1 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="68" Name="Medium Grid 2 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="69" Name="Medium Grid 3 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="70" Name="Dark List Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="71" Name="Colorful Shading Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="72" Name="Colorful List 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Locked="false" Priority="51"    Name="Grid Table 6 Colorful Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="52"    Name="Grid Table 7 Colorful Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="46" Name="List Table 1 Light" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="47" Name="List Table 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="48" Name="List Table 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="49" Name="List Table 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="50" Name="List Table 5 Dark" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="51" Name="List Table 6 Colorful" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="52" Name="List Table 7 Colorful" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="46"    Name="List Table 1 Light Accent 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="47" Name="List Table 2 Accent 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="48" Name="List Table 3 Accent 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="49" Name="List Table 4 Accent 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="50" Name="List Table 5 Dark Accent 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="51"    Name="List Table 6 Colorful Accent 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="52"    Name="List Table 7 Colorful Accent 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="46"    Name="List Table 1 Light Accent 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="47" Name="List Table 2 Accent 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="48" Name="List Table 3 Accent 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="49" Name="List Table 4 Accent 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="50" Name="List Table 5 Dark Accent 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="51"    Name="List Table 6 Colorful Accent 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="52"    Name="List Table 7 Colorful Accent 2" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="46"    Name="List Table 1 Light Accent 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="47" Name="List Table 2 Accent 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="48" Name="List Table 3 Accent 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="49" Name="List Table 4 Accent 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="50" Name="List Table 5 Dark Accent 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="51"    Name="List Table 6 Colorful Accent 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="52"    Name="List Table 7 Colorful Accent 3" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="46"    Name="List Table 1 Light Accent 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="47" Name="List Table 2 Accent 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="48" Name="List Table 3 Accent 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="49" Name="List Table 4 Accent 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="50" Name="List Table 5 Dark Accent 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="51"    Name="List Table 6 Colorful Accent 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="52"    Name="List Table 7 Colorful Accent 4" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="46"    Name="List Table 1 Light Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="47" Name="List Table 2 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="48" Name="List Table 3 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="49" Name="List Table 4 Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="50" Name="List Table 5 Dark Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="51"    Name="List Table 6 Colorful Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="52"    Name="List Table 7 Colorful Accent 5" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="46"    Name="List Table 1 Light Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="47" Name="List Table 2 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="48" Name="List Table 3 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="49" Name="List Table 4 Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="50" Name="List Table 5 Dark Accent 6" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" 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